Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 12/07, 14:30
Prediction: Amit Vales vs Ryan Nijboer
Prediction summary
Winner
Amit Vales
Ryan Nijboer
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Amit Vales
7-3 (W-L)
Ryan Nijboer
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amit Vales 1526 · Ryan Nijboer 1563
| Amit Vales | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Amit Vales | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.6 | 12.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amit Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Marcus Walters Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Michael Zhu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | John Sperle Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/06 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Spencer Johnson M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Vit Kalina M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Maxence Bertimon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Mikel Martinez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amit Vales vs Ryan Nijboer?
Our model gives 65% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.