Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 12/07, 11:00
Prediction: Leo Raquillet vs Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Raquillet
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Raquillet
4-6 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Raquillet 1486 · Jan Kumstat 1497
| Leo Raquillet | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 47% break avg.
Statistics
| Leo Raquillet | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.1 | 11.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Raquillet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Ribero Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Corentin Denolly M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matteo Covato M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/05 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Raquillet vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 57% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.