Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 12/07, 13:00
Prediction: David Poljak vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Prediction summary
Winner
David Poljak
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
David Poljak
3-7 (W-L)
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Poljak 1462 · Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 1446
| David Poljak | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Samuel Vincent Ruggeri makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| David Poljak | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.2 | 10.3-12 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Poljak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Dominik Palan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Peter Makk Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/02 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cesenatico · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Cesenatico · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/12 | Michal Lusovsky Czechia Extraliga |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Ali Habib M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Olle Wallin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Andrei Kunitsyn M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Poljak vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri?
Our model gives 52% to Samuel Vincent Ruggeri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.