Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 12/07, 13:00

Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Giorgio Tabacco

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Samuele Pieri Giorgio Tabacco
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLL
Giorgio Tabacco 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1470 · Giorgio Tabacco 1527
Samuele PieriGiorgio Tabacco
Our model42%58%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giorgio Tabacco (rating 1470 vs 1527).

Statistics

Samuele PieriGiorgio Tabacco
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.3-12.912.1-12
Aces2.62
Double faults22.6
1st serve %63.7%62.8%
Break %45.7%39.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samuele Pieri

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Martin Krumich
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
06/07 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
05/07 Noel Larwig
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
30/06 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/06 Max Hans Rehberg
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
25/06 Tim Handel
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Kai Wehnelt
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
09/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/06 Francesco Forti
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
07/06 Giovanni Oradini
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
2-1 14-16 W

Giorgio Tabacco

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Dominik Recek
M25 Kassel
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Kassel
2-1 15-13 W
07/07 Tom Sickenberger
M25 Kassel
2-1 17-15 W
25/06 Federico Arnaboldi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
24/06 Flynn Thomas
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Gianmarco Ferrari
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
17/06 Marcello Serafini
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
16/06 Raffaele Ciurnelli
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
10/06 Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 12-19 L
09/06 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Giorgio Tabacco?

Our model gives 54% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.