Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 12/07, 11:30
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Michael Bassem Sobhy
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
3-7 (W-L)
Michael Bassem Sobhy
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1420 · Michael Bassem Sobhy 1505
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Michael Bassem Sobhy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Bassem Sobhy (rating 1420 vs 1505).
- Michael Bassem Sobhy is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Michael Bassem Sobhy makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Michael Bassem Sobhy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-11.6 | 12.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Nik Mikovic M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/02 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/02 | Andrea Zanini M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/02 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Cesenatico · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/01 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Amaury Raynel ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/05 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 14/05 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Jorge Plans M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/04 | Olle Wallin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Amr Asrawy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Michael Bassem Sobhy?
Our model gives 61% to Michael Bassem Sobhy, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.