Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 12/07, 12:00
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
4-6 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matej Dodig
0–1
Hugo Dellien
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1536 · Hugo Dellien 1542
| Matej Dodig | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hugo Dellien dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Matej Dodig 0–1 Hugo Dellien (1).
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.8 | 11.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 70% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Matej Dodig 0 – 1 Hugo Dellien (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matej Dodig 0–1 Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 French Open | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 09/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Valentin Royer French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Roberto Carballes Baena French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Matej Dodig French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 58% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.