Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 11/07, 16:30
Prediction: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Bernet
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Bernet
6-4 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Bernet 1569 · Hugo Dellien 1536
| Henry Bernet | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hugo Dellien dominates on serve: 10.8 aces and 50.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Henry Bernet | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.8 | 11.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 10.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Leonardo Iemmi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Flynn Thomas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Valentin Royer French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Roberto Carballes Baena French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Matej Dodig French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Sean Cuenin French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 56% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.