Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 10/07, 20:00
Prediction: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Bernet
Federico Bondioli
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Bernet
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Bondioli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Bernet 1562 · Federico Bondioli 1514
| Henry Bernet | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Bernet (rating 1562 vs 1514).
Statistics
| Henry Bernet | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.6 | 12.2-13.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 29.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Leonardo Iemmi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Flynn Thomas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Federico Bondioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 11/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 26/05 | Karim Bennani Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model gives 52% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.