Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 11/07, 14:00
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squire
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Henri Squire
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
3-7 (W-L)
Henri Squire
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1535 · Henri Squire 1552
| Matej Dodig | Henri Squire | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Henri Squire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.9 | 11.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 15.2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 09/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yi Zhou French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Henri Squire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Henri Squire?
Our model gives 51% to Henri Squire, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.