Tennis · Challenger Liege · 12/07, 14:30
Prediction: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Florian Broska
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Florian Broska
9-1 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florian Broska 1619 · Lorenzo Giustino 1569
| Florian Broska | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florian Broska (rating 1619 vs 1569).
Statistics
| Florian Broska | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.1 | 12.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 75% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Kobelt M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Parth Aggarwal M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Gauthier Onclin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 51% to Florian Broska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.