Tennis · Challenger Liege · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Philip Henning
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Felix Balshaw; the market gives 69% to Felix Balshaw (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Felix Balshaw with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Philip Henning has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1606 · Philip Henning 1533
| Felix Balshaw | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1606 vs 1533).
- Note: Philip Henning makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.2 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 52% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Peter Makk Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 14/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 65% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.