Tennis · Challenger Liege · 10/07, 18:00

Prediction: Florian Broska vs Felix Balshaw

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Florian Broska Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Florian Broska 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWWL
Felix Balshaw 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Florian Broska 1574 · Felix Balshaw 1588
Florian BroskaFelix Balshaw
Our model48%52%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Florian BroskaFelix Balshaw
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.81.7-0.6
Games (G-P)13.1-9.412.7-8.1
Aces3.54.5
Double faults1.61.9
1st serve %69.4%67.4%
Break %54.3%47.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Florian Broska

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-1 18-15 W
07/07 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
02/07 Lorenzo Comino
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Matthieu Chambonniere
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Yassine Dlimi
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
25/06 Nicolas Kobelt
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Parth Aggarwal
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
18/06 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
16/06 Lukas Neumayer
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Felix Balshaw

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Philip Henning
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/07 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
27/06 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
26/06 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
25/06 Martin Krumich
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
23/06 Stefan Horia Haita
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
22/06 Peter Makk
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
21/06 Franco Ribero
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/06 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Royan · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
16/06 Eliakim Coulibaly
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-1 15-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Florian Broska vs Felix Balshaw?

Our model gives 63% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.