Tennis · W50 Columbus · 12/07, 17:00
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Julieta Pareja
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Julieta Pareja
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
7-3 (W-L)
Julieta Pareja
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1560 · Julieta Pareja 1590
| Sakura Hosogi | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.2 | 11-7.6 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Thara Gowda W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Fang An Lin W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Naho Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Julieta Pareja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Rebecca Marino W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Haruka Kaji W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Hanna Chang W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Mia Slama W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Panna Udvardy WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Panna Udvardy WTA Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 30/03 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/03 | Kayla Cross W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/03 | Despina Papamichail W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Julieta Pareja?
Our model gives 65% to Julieta Pareja, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.