Tennis · W50 Columbus · 11/07, 16:00
Prediction: Rebecca Marino vs Julieta Pareja
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Marino
Julieta Pareja
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Marino
8-2 (W-L)
Julieta Pareja
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Marino 1529 · Julieta Pareja 1586
| Rebecca Marino | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julieta Pareja (rating 1529 vs 1586).
- Rebecca Marino dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 53.2% break avg.
- Note: Rebecca Marino makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Julieta Pareja makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Rebecca Marino | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.4 | 10.9-7.3 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kira Matushkina W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Tatjana Maria WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Guadalajara 125K · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Dominika Salkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Mai Hontama US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Julieta Pareja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Haruka Kaji W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Hanna Chang W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Mia Slama W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Panna Udvardy WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Panna Udvardy WTA Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 30/03 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/03 | Kayla Cross W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/03 | Despina Papamichail W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/03 | Ana Grubor W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Marino vs Julieta Pareja?
Our model gives 52% to Julieta Pareja, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.