Tennis · W50 Columbus · 09/07, 17:30
Prediction: Thara Gowda vs Sakura Hosogi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Sakura Hosogi; the market gives 73% to Sakura Hosogi (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Thara Gowda is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sakura Hosogi 6-4 over theirs.
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thara Gowda 1494 · Sakura Hosogi 1541
| Thara Gowda | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sakura Hosogi (rating 1494 vs 1541).
- Note: Thara Gowda makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Thara Gowda | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.7 | 10.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thara Gowda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Dana Guzman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Tatum Evans W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caroline Driscoll W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Brooke Kwon W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Piper Charney W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Tia Messerli W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Emily Robertson W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 07/03 | Ariana Arseneault W15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Fang An Lin W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Naho Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Kurumi Tamura W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thara Gowda vs Sakura Hosogi?
Our model gives 66% to Sakura Hosogi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.