Tennis · W50 Columbus · 10/07, 17:30

Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Sara Daavettila

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Malaika Rapolu Sara Daavettila
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLWW
Sara Daavettila 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLWW
Head-to-head
Malaika Rapolu 0–1 Sara Daavettila (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1546 · Sara Daavettila 1495
Malaika RapoluSara Daavettila
Our model57%43%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1546 vs 1495).
  • Head-to-head: Malaika Rapolu 0–1 Sara Daavettila (1).
  • Note: Sara Daavettila makes many double faults (7.9/match).

Statistics

Malaika RapoluSara Daavettila
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.81.1-1
Games (G-P)9.6-7.39.4-9
Aces1.40.4
Double faults2.87.9
1st serve %67.6%56.5%
Break %54.9%50.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

H2H · Malaika Rapolu 01 Sara Daavettila (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Malaika Rapolu 01 Sara Daavettila

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/06/23
W15 San Diego
0-210-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malaika Rapolu

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Miho Kuramochi
W50 Columbus
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Ayana Akli
W50 Columbus
2-0 13-6 W
01/07 Kristina Liutova
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
30/06 Mary Lewis
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/06 Jasmine Conway
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Rome
1-2 10-15 L
12/06 Madison Brengle
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Violeta Martinez
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
09/06 Kylie Collins
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
05/06 Cadence Brace
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
0-2 5-13 L

Sara Daavettila

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Jia-Jing Lu
W50 Columbus
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Jaedan Brown
W50 Columbus
2-0 12-5 W
10/06 Violeta Martinez
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/05 Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
W35 Boca Raton
1-2 12-16 L
06/05 Paola Lopez
W35 Boca Raton
2-0 12-6 W
29/04 Kailey Evans
W35 Boca Raton
0-2 5-12 L
10/04 Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/04 Adithya Karunaratne
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/04 Aleksandra Mateva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-2 W
03/04 Angelica Raggi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Sara Daavettila?

Our model gives 68% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.