Tennis · W50 Columbus · 09/07, 17:30
Prediction: Sara Daavettila vs Jia-Jing Lu
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Sara Daavettila; the market gives 61% to Jia-Jing Lu (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Sara Daavettila with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Jia-Jing Lu has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Daavettila 1495 · Jia-Jing Lu 1473
| Sara Daavettila | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Daavettila makes many double faults (8.1/match).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Sara Daavettila | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.9 | 9.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 8.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Daavettila
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jaedan Brown W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Violeta Martinez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Paola Lopez W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Kailey Evans W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/04 | Aleksandra Mateva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 03/04 | Angelica Raggi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Victoria Pohle W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Monika Ekstrand W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Jiaqi Wang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Dayeon Back W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Naho Sato W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/04 | Varvara Panshina WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Daavettila vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 55% to Jia-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.