Tennis · W50 Columbus · 11/07, 16:00
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Sara Daavettila
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Sara Daavettila
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
7-3 (W-L)
Sara Daavettila
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1557 · Sara Daavettila 1518
| Sakura Hosogi | Sara Daavettila | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Daavettila makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Sara Daavettila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.8 | 10.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 8.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Thara Gowda W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Fang An Lin W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Naho Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Sara Daavettila
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Jaedan Brown W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Violeta Martinez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Paola Lopez W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Kailey Evans W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/04 | Aleksandra Mateva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Sara Daavettila?
Our model gives 57% to Sakura Hosogi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.