Tennis · WTA Rome · 12/07, 16:00

Prediction: Alessandra Mazzola vs Francesca Gandolfi

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Alessandra Mazzola Francesca Gandolfi
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandra Mazzola 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWWLW
Francesca Gandolfi 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alessandra Mazzola 1507 · Francesca Gandolfi 1506
Alessandra MazzolaFrancesca Gandolfi
Our model50%50%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (7.3/match).

Statistics

Alessandra MazzolaFrancesca Gandolfi
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11.5-11.212.2-10
Aces0.10.8
Double faults2.47.3
1st serve %54.2%63.4%
Break %52.6%55.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alessandra Mazzola

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Jule Niemeier
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 12-13 L
25/06 Deborah Chiesa
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/06 Maria Sara Popa
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
15/06 Luisina Giovannini
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
12/06 Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
11/06 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Maria Toma
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-1 13-8 W
07/06 Federica Urgesi
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
06/06 Nastasja Schunk
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/06 Dalila Spiteri
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Francesca Gandolfi

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Julie Struplova
W35 Buzau
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Carolina Kuhl
W35 Buzau
2-1 18-10 W
08/07 Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Sandra Samir
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-5 W
06/07 Alexia Lavinia Puiac
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Vittoria Paganetti
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
10/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
01/06 Isabella Maria Serban
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
31/05 Ylenia Zocco
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-1 16-7 W
23/05 Federica Trevisan
W15 Grado · ~Clay
1-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alessandra Mazzola vs Francesca Gandolfi?

Our model gives 62% to Alessandra Mazzola, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.