Prediction: Noemi Basiletti vs Anastasia Abbagnato
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Basiletti
Anastasia Abbagnato
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Basiletti
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Abbagnato
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Basiletti 1492 · Anastasia Abbagnato 1438
| Noemi Basiletti | Anastasia Abbagnato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi Basiletti (rating 1492 vs 1438).
- Noemi Basiletti is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Noemi Basiletti | Anastasia Abbagnato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.5 | 10.8-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Basiletti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Federica Trevisan W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Aneta Kucmova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Noemi Maines W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Radka Zelnickova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Beatrice Ricci WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Gabriela Ce W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Anastasia Abbagnato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Camilla Gennaro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Galatea Ferro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/02 | Akasha Urhobo W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/02 | Kristina Liutova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Basiletti vs Anastasia Abbagnato?
Our model gives 69% to Noemi Basiletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.