Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 11/07, 13:30
Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Jan Choinski
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
Jan Choinski
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
5-5 (W-L)
Jan Choinski
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1572 · Jan Choinski 1579
| Daniel Rincon | Jan Choinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Choinski dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 45.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Jan Choinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.8-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.6 | 14.3-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Jan Choinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Vit Kopriva Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Felix Gill ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 20/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Jan Choinski?
Our model gives 58% to Jan Choinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.