Tennis · M15 Lodz · 11/07, 10:00

Prediction: Linus Lagerbohm vs Leyton Rivera

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Linus Lagerbohm Leyton Rivera
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Linus Lagerbohm 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWWL
Leyton Rivera 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Linus Lagerbohm 1531 · Leyton Rivera 1520
Linus LagerbohmLeyton Rivera
Our model52%48%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Linus LagerbohmLeyton Rivera
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.4-1
Games (G-P)10.4-8.811.7-11.1
Aces2.81.7
Double faults3.22.7
1st serve %71%64.1%
Break %43.9%43.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linus Lagerbohm

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Lodz
2-1 14-12 W
09/07 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Patrik Homola
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Ruben Hartig
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
18/06 Moritz Kudernatsch
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/06 Maximilian Todorov
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
12/06 Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
10/06 Jeri Lassila
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/05 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/05 Omar Knani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Leyton Rivera

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Jakub Jedrzejczak
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Petr Michnev
M15 Lodz
2-0 14-11 W
08/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Maximilian Figl
M15 Store
0-2 6-12 L
26/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
25/06 Markus Molder
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
24/06 Kristjan Tamm
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
1-2 8-16 L
09/06 Timeo Trufelli
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
04/06 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linus Lagerbohm vs Leyton Rivera?

Our model gives 59% to Linus Lagerbohm, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.