Tennis · M15 Lodz · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Balducci vs Jeremy Gschwendtner
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Jeremy Gschwendtner; the market gives 75% to Jeremy Gschwendtner (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Lorenzo Balducci with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Jeremy Gschwendtner has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Balducci 1492 · Jeremy Gschwendtner 1521
| Lorenzo Balducci | Jeremy Gschwendtner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lorenzo Balducci makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Jeremy Gschwendtner makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Balducci | Jeremy Gschwendtner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.5 | 11.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Balducci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Antoni Kasperski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Jakub Solarski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Sep De Visser M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Lucas Hammond M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Jacopo Borsoi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 17/03 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/02 | Carles Cordoba M15 Javea |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Filippo Romano ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Jeremy Gschwendtner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Sebastian Gima M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 20/05 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Balducci vs Jeremy Gschwendtner?
Our model gives 66% to Jeremy Gschwendtner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.