Tennis · M15 Lodz · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: Jakub Filip vs Jakub Jedrzejczak

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Jakub Jedrzejczak; the market gives 77% to Jakub Filip (odds 1.22).

Recent form leaves Jakub Filip with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Jakub Jedrzejczak has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

62%1
62% 38%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jakub Filip 1549 · Jakub Jedrzejczak 1582
Jakub FilipJakub Jedrzejczak
Our model45%55%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jakub FilipJakub Jedrzejczak
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12-9.512.1-9.7
Aces2.52
Double faults2.11
1st serve %71%67%
Break %39.5%77.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jakub Filip

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Gilberto Ravasio
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Benito Sanchez Martinez
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-1 4-6 L
25/06 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-1 17-16 W
23/06 Alexandre Aubriot
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
16/06 Arian Barbic
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/06 Jakub Nicod
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
14/05 Filip Cristian Jianu
M25 Louny · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
13/05 Matyas Kozlovsky
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
11/05 Matyas Kozlovsky
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Jakub Jedrzejczak

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Kacper Knitter
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Martin Soukal
M15 Lodz
2-0 14-11 W
14/12 Filip Peliwo
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 7-12 L
13/12 Matthew Carroll
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 16-12 W
11/12 Jonasz Dziopak
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 16-12 W
10/12 Jannik Maute
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 17-14 W
09/12 Gabriel Matuszewski
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 13-8 W
08/12 Norbert Marosik
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-5 W
02/11 James Pikkaart
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 2-12 L
01/11 Sebastian Chodura
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jakub Filip vs Jakub Jedrzejczak?

Our model gives 62% to Jakub Filip, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.