Tennis · M15 Lodz · 10/07, 10:00

Prediction: Vladyslav Orlov vs Petros Tsitsipas

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Vladyslav Orlov; the market gives 79% to Vladyslav Orlov (odds 1.17).

On recent form, Vladyslav Orlov is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Petros Tsitsipas 3-7 over theirs.

71%1
71% 29%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vladyslav Orlov 1548 · Petros Tsitsipas 1471
Vladyslav OrlovPetros Tsitsipas
Our model61%39%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vladyslav Orlov (rating 1548 vs 1471).
  • Vladyslav Orlov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Vladyslav Orlov 1–0 Petros Tsitsipas (1).
  • Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Vladyslav OrlovPetros Tsitsipas
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.80.9-1.3
Games (G-P)12.1-8.910.8-10.8
Aces1.85.3
Double faults24.6
1st serve %68.5%72.7%
Break %42.1%36.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

H2H · Vladyslav Orlov 10 Petros Tsitsipas (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vladyslav Orlov 10 Petros Tsitsipas

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DateSetsGamesRes.
04/06/23
Challenger Heilbronn
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vladyslav Orlov

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Jan Chlodnicki
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Jakub Vrtilka
M15 Lodz
2-1 18-16 W
05/07 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L
04/07 Stefan Popovic
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
03/07 Petar Jovanovic
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
02/07 Obrad Markovski
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W
02/07 Nikola Kolyachev
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/06 Mateusz Miton
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 15-18 L

Petros Tsitsipas

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Lodz
2-1 19-13 W
08/07 Martins Rocens
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-6 W
25/06 Bozo Barun
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Viacheslav Bielinskyi
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
17/06 Glib Sekachov
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
11/06 Guillaume Dalmasso
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 7-10 L
10/06 Elias Julian Werner
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
11/05 Michele Mecarelli
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
22/04 Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vladyslav Orlov vs Petros Tsitsipas?

Our model gives 71% to Vladyslav Orlov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.