Tennis · M15 Lodz · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jakub Jedrzejczak vs Leyton Rivera
Our model (Elo on carpet, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Jakub Jedrzejczak; the market gives 59% to Leyton Rivera (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Jakub Jedrzejczak sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Leyton Rivera arrives on a 7-3 run.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Jedrzejczak 1561 · Leyton Rivera 1532
| Jakub Jedrzejczak | Leyton Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jakub Jedrzejczak | Leyton Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Carpet | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.8 | 11.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 70.7% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Jedrzejczak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Jakub Filip M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Kacper Knitter M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Martin Soukal M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/12 | Filip Peliwo UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Matthew Carroll UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/12 | Jonasz Dziopak UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/12 | Jannik Maute UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/12 | Gabriel Matuszewski UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/12 | Norbert Marosik UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | James Pikkaart UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Leyton Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Store |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Markus Molder M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Sasha Colleu M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Jedrzejczak vs Leyton Rivera?
Our model gives 53% to Leyton Rivera, using surface Elo on carpet.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.