Tennis · M15 Lodz · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Lorenzo Balducci
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Lorenzo Balducci; the market gives 73% to Imanol Lopez Morillo (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Imanol Lopez Morillo with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Lorenzo Balducci has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1489 · Lorenzo Balducci 1508
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Lorenzo Balducci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lorenzo Balducci makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Lorenzo Balducci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.4 | 11-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 61.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Marcel Kamrowski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Maximilian Borisov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Pedro Sakamoto M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Patrik Homola M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Lorenzo Balducci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Antoni Kasperski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Jakub Solarski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Sep De Visser M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Lucas Hammond M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Jacopo Borsoi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 17/03 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/02 | Carles Cordoba M15 Javea |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Lorenzo Balducci?
Our model gives 62% to Imanol Lopez Morillo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.