Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 11/07, 17:45
Prediction: Yanki Erel vs Oliver Crawford
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanki Erel
Oliver Crawford
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yanki Erel
10-0 (W-L)
Oliver Crawford
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yanki Erel
1–0
Oliver Crawford
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanki Erel 1616 · Oliver Crawford 1529
| Yanki Erel | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanki Erel (rating 1616 vs 1529).
- Head-to-head: Yanki Erel 1–0 Oliver Crawford (1).
Statistics
| Yanki Erel | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.1 | 12.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 63.9% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Yanki Erel 1 – 0 Oliver Crawford (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanki Erel 1–0 Oliver Crawford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/23 ITF M25 Al Zahra | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Gianluca Carlini M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Noah Regas M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 30/05 | Vadym Ursu M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Maksim Shin M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Kevin Edengren M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Ids Waterbolk M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Oliver Crawford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Dan Added M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Robin Bertrand M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Mae Malige M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Rigele Te M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanki Erel vs Oliver Crawford?
Our model gives 51% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.