Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 08/07, 11:30
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Isaac Becroft
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Isaac Becroft; the market gives 79% to Lucas Poullain (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Lucas Poullain is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Isaac Becroft 5-5 over theirs.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1465 · Isaac Becroft 1497
| Lucas Poullain | Isaac Becroft | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Isaac Becroft | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.6 | 9.7-7.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Vadym Ursu M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Loann Massard Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 17/05 | Michal Krajci Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Isaac Becroft
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Carles Rojas M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Louis Allen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Gianluca Carlini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 10/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/05 | Anton Shepp M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Isaac Becroft?
Our model gives 64% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.