Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Dan Added vs Oliver Crawford
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Dan Added; the market gives 69% to Oliver Crawford (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Dan Added is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Oliver Crawford 5-5 over theirs.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1581 · Oliver Crawford 1533
| Dan Added | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dan Added (rating 1581 vs 1533).
Statistics
| Dan Added | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.8 | 12.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 56% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Hugo Car M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Oliver Crawford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Robin Bertrand M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Mae Malige M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Rigele Te M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mark Ceban Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Oliver Crawford?
Our model gives 57% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.