Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mae Malige vs Oliver Crawford
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Oliver Crawford; the market gives 75% to Oliver Crawford (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Mae Malige is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Oliver Crawford 6-4 over theirs.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mae Malige 1500 · Oliver Crawford 1566
| Mae Malige | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Crawford (rating 1500 vs 1566).
Statistics
| Mae Malige | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.5 | 12.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 68% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mae Malige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Matias Reyniak M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Alessandro Mondazzi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daniel Antonio Nunez M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Pierre Delage M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Oliver Crawford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Rigele Te M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mark Ceban Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mae Malige vs Oliver Crawford?
Our model gives 68% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.