Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 09/07, 11:30

Prediction: Isaac Becroft vs Dan Added

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Dan Added; the market gives 72% to Dan Added (odds 1.30).

Recent form leaves Isaac Becroft with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Dan Added has piled up 7-3 in the same span.

64%2
36% 64%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isaac Becroft 1502 · Dan Added 1534
Isaac BecroftDan Added
Our model45%55%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Isaac BecroftDan Added
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.4-1
Games (G-P)9.8-7.911.6-10.9
Aces3.94.1
Double faults12.2
1st serve %67.3%69.4%
Break %55.1%53.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isaac Becroft

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Lucas Poullain
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Carles Rojas
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-3 W
28/06 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Mathys Picard
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-13 L
23/06 Louis Allen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Gianluca Carlini
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/06 Roger Pascual Ferra
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-8 L
10/06 Augusto Mateo Lucarelli
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
15/05 Anton Shepp
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/05 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Dan Added

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 13-9 W
07/07 Daniel Lara Salmeron
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
04/07 Luc Fomba
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Robin Catry
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 19-15 W
01/07 Hugo Car
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 14-14 W
22/06 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
14/06 Niels Visker
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
12/06 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M25 Martos · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isaac Becroft vs Dan Added?

Our model gives 64% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.