Tennis · M25 Laval · 11/07, 00:00
Prediction: Karl Poling vs Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Poling
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Poling
7-3 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Poling 1533 · Kenta Miyoshi 1540
| Karl Poling | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karl Poling | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.1 | 11.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 41% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Rozin M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | James Trotter M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Justin Boulais M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Stephane Pierre-Jo Kamendje M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nav Dayal M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Lambert Ruland M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Poling vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 55% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.