Tennis · M25 Laval · 09/07, 17:00

Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Justin Boulais

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Kenta Miyoshi; the market gives 58% to Justin Boulais (odds 1.61).

On recent form, Kenta Miyoshi is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Justin Boulais 6-4 over theirs.

54%2
46% 54%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1547 · Justin Boulais 1538
Kenta MiyoshiJustin Boulais
Our model51%49%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Kenta Miyoshi 0–1 Justin Boulais (1).

Statistics

Kenta MiyoshiJustin Boulais
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.4-1.2
Games (G-P)11.7-912.9-12.3
Aces44
Double faults1.62.9
1st serve %75.4%70.6%
Break %44.4%40.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

H2H · Kenta Miyoshi 01 Justin Boulais (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kenta Miyoshi 01 Justin Boulais

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DateSetsGamesRes.
03/08/25
Challenger Chicago
1-217-17L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kenta Miyoshi

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Stephane Pierre-Jo Kamendje
M25 Laval
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Vignesh Gogineni
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Nav Dayal
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
20/06 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
20/06 Rudy Quan
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
19/06 Benjamin O'Connell
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Lambert Ruland
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/06 Sebastian Gorzny
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Matisse Farzam
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Christian Langmo
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-1 18-12 W

Justin Boulais

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Millen Hurrion
M25 Laval
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Tung-Lin Wu
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 17-19 L
29/06 Jay Friend
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
28/06 Enzo Aguiard
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
17/06 Ozan Baris
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
09/06 Ozan Baris
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/05 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
1-2 9-13 L
30/05 Jay Friend
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
28/05 Nicolas Mejia
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
26/05 Erik Arutiunian
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Justin Boulais?

Our model gives 54% to Justin Boulais, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.