Prediction: Duncan Chan vs Timo Legout
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Timo Legout; the market gives 54% to Timo Legout (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Duncan Chan is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Timo Legout 8-2 over theirs.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duncan Chan 1536 · Timo Legout 1564
| Duncan Chan | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Duncan Chan | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.7 | 11.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nicola Ion M25 Laval |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Jie Cui M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/11 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/11 | Charles Broom Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/11 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/11 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Justin Roberts M25 Laval |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Matthew Shearer M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duncan Chan vs Timo Legout?
Our model gives 54% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.