Prediction: Alejandro Juan Mano vs Sander Jong
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Sander Jong; the market gives 65% to Sander Jong (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Alejandro Juan Mano with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Sander Jong has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
| Alejandro Juan Mano | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1488 vs 1538).
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Juan Mano 0–1 Sander Jong (1).
Statistics
| Alejandro Juan Mano | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-8.9 | 12.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 40.7% |
H2H · Alejandro Juan Mano 0 – 1 Sander Jong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Juan Mano 0–1 Sander Jong
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 M15 Villena | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Juan Mano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Max Van Nunen M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Henri Squire Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Reus · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Murcia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Sander Jong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Eero Vasa M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jeremy Schifris M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Sammy Guinau M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Lasse Poertner Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Juan Mano vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 61% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.