Tennis · M25 The Hague · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Karl Friberg vs Alejandro Juan Mano
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Karl Friberg; the market gives 63% to Alejandro Juan Mano (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Karl Friberg sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Alejandro Juan Mano arrives on a 5-5 run.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Friberg 1496 · Alejandro Juan Mano 1480
| Karl Friberg | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karl Friberg | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.1 | 8.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 31.4% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikola Slavic M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Cyril Vandermeersch M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/04 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alejandro Juan Mano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Max Van Nunen M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Henri Squire Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Reus · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Murcia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/02 | Sander Jong M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Friberg vs Alejandro Juan Mano?
Our model gives 56% to Alejandro Juan Mano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.