Tennis · M25 The Hague · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jakub Nicod vs Pieter De Lange
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Pieter De Lange; the market gives 78% to Jakub Nicod (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Jakub Nicod sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Pieter De Lange arrives on a 6-4 run.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Nicod 1532 · Pieter De Lange 1596
| Jakub Nicod | Pieter De Lange | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pieter De Lange (rating 1532 vs 1596).
- Pieter De Lange is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jakub Nicod 0–1 Pieter De Lange (1).
Statistics
| Jakub Nicod | Pieter De Lange | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.1 | 13.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Jakub Nicod 0 – 1 Pieter De Lange (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jakub Nicod 0–1 Pieter De Lange
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 M15 Amstelveen | 1-2 | 11-10 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Nicod
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Taym Alazmeh M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Timeo Trufelli M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 04/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Steffan Van Weldam M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Jakub Filip M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Pieter De Lange
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Fons Van Sambeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Louis Tessa M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Pranav Karthik M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Nicod vs Pieter De Lange?
Our model gives 61% to Jakub Nicod, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.