Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 09/07, 17:30
Prediction: Leonardo Primucci vs Nicolas Jadoun
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Nicolas Jadoun; the market gives 66% to Nicolas Jadoun (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Leonardo Primucci sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Nicolas Jadoun arrives on a 6-4 run.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Primucci 1452 · Nicolas Jadoun 1495
| Leonardo Primucci | Nicolas Jadoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Jadoun (rating 1452 vs 1495).
Statistics
| Leonardo Primucci | Nicolas Jadoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11 | 8.9-10 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Primucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Henri Haupt M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Maxence Rivet M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Nik Mikovic M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-1 | 6-4 | W |
| 21/04 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Kacper Knitter M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Peter Buldorini M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Nicolas Jadoun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Liam Branger M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Paris Pouatcha M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Matthias Ujvary M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Rajat Shirur M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Primucci vs Nicolas Jadoun?
Our model gives 62% to Nicolas Jadoun, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.