Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Damien Salvestre vs Alexander Weis
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Alexander Weis; the market gives 73% to Alexander Weis (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Damien Salvestre sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Alexander Weis arrives on a 8-2 run.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damien Salvestre 1513 · Alexander Weis 1550
| Damien Salvestre | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Damien Salvestre | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.8 | 11.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damien Salvestre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Mikail Alimli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Timeo Bretin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/03 | Silvio Mencaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 28/01 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/01 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Tiago Pires UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Justin Engel Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Maxime Chazal ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Alexander Weis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Arthur Bonnaud M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Amar Huseinovikj M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Jan Kupcic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrin Casanova M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damien Salvestre vs Alexander Weis?
Our model gives 65% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.