Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Gabriele Vulpitta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Gabriele Vulpitta; the market gives 79% to Cosme Rolland De Ravel (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Cosme Rolland De Ravel is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Gabriele Vulpitta 6-4 over theirs.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cosme Rolland De Ravel 1552 · Gabriele Vulpitta 1565
| Cosme Rolland De Ravel | Gabriele Vulpitta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Cosme Rolland De Ravel | Gabriele Vulpitta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.2 | 11.6-7.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 57% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Louis Larue M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Jeffrey Hsu Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/01 | Lucas Poullain M25 Hazebrouck |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Gabriele Vulpitta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Heremana Courte M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Miguel Simao M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/06 | Jakub Kroslak M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Yassine Smiej M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Balthazar Huss M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/01 | Naresh Bharathy UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 12/11 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Gabriele Vulpitta?
Our model gives 65% to Cosme Rolland De Ravel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.