Tennis · M25 The Hague · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jelle Sels vs Abel Forger
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Abel Forger; the market gives 50% to Abel Forger (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Jelle Sels is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Abel Forger 5-5 over theirs.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jelle Sels 1501 · Abel Forger 1542
| Jelle Sels | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abel Forger (rating 1501 vs 1542).
- Note: Abel Forger makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Jelle Sels | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.5 | 13.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jelle Sels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/05 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Abel Forger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/06 | Bercel Sandor Takacs M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/11 | Yaroslav Demin ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/11 | Gabriele Bosio ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jelle Sels vs Abel Forger?
Our model gives 53% to Abel Forger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.