Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 10/07, 13:00
Prediction: Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Dabrowski/Stefani; the market gives 65% to Dabrowski/Stefani (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Aoyama/Liang is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Dabrowski/Stefani 9-1 over theirs.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoyama/Liang 1610 · Dabrowski/Stefani 1620
| Aoyama/Liang | Dabrowski/Stefani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aoyama/Liang | Dabrowski/Stefani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-8.9 | 12.6-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoyama/Liang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Perez/Schuurs Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Hsieh/Wang Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Birrell/Gibson Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Bouzas Maneiro/Sonmez Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Neel/Olmos WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Andreescu/Boisson WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexandrova/Joint WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Danilina/Krunic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Guo/Mladenovic French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Chong/Erjavec French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dabrowski/Stefani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Piter/Siskova Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Hunter/McNally Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Dolehide/Parks Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Guarachi/Rosolska Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Maleckova/Skoch WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Muhammad/Stollar WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Kato/Rakhimova WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Detiuc/Khromacheva WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Jovic/Kessler WTA Queens WD · Grass |
1-2 | 17-22 | L |
| 10/06 | Kato/Samsonova WTA Queens WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani?
Our model gives 59% to Dabrowski/Stefani, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.