Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 08/07, 12:00
Prediction: Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Siniakova/Townsend; the market gives 89% to Siniakova/Townsend (odds 1.07).
Over their last 10 matches, Siniakova/Townsend sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Guo/Mladenovic arrives on a 7-3 run.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siniakova/Townsend 1602 · Guo/Mladenovic 1564
| Siniakova/Townsend | Guo/Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Siniakova/Townsend | Guo/Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-5.4 | 13.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siniakova/Townsend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Muhammad/Stollar Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Chan/Tauson Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Danilina/Krunic French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Dabrowski/Stefani French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Kempen/Klepac French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Kichenok/Ninomiya French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Arango/Jovic French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Marcinko/Ruzic French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/05 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Rome WD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Guo/Mladenovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Detiuc/Khromacheva Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexandrova/Joint Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Burrage/Stojsavljevic Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Queens WD · Grass |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
| 10/06 | Hunter/Zhang WTA Queens WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Muhammad/Stollar WTA Queens WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Aoyama/Liang French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Mertens/Zhang French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Hsieh/Wang French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Lys/Stearns French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovic?
Our model gives 74% to Siniakova/Townsend, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.