Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Siniakova/Townsend vs Muhammad/Stollar
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Siniakova/Townsend; the market gives 88% to Siniakova/Townsend (odds 1.08).
Over their last 10 matches, Siniakova/Townsend sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Muhammad/Stollar arrives on a 5-5 run.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siniakova/Townsend 1624 · Muhammad/Stollar 1546
| Siniakova/Townsend | Muhammad/Stollar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siniakova/Townsend (rating 1624 vs 1546).
- Siniakova/Townsend is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Siniakova/Townsend | Muhammad/Stollar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (2) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-5.3 | 12.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siniakova/Townsend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Chan/Tauson Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Danilina/Krunic French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Dabrowski/Stefani French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Kempen/Klepac French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Kichenok/Ninomiya French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Arango/Jovic French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Marcinko/Ruzic French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/05 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Rome WD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Muhammad/Stollar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Starodubtseva/Stearns Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Kichenok/Ninomiya Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Neel/Olmos WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Christie/Silva WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Errani/Melichar-Martinez WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Gauff/Pegula WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Danilina/Krunic WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 09/06 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Queens WD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Kempen/Klepac French Open WD · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siniakova/Townsend vs Muhammad/Stollar?
Our model gives 76% to Siniakova/Townsend, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.