Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Perez/Schuurs vs Aoyama/Liang
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Aoyama/Liang; the market gives 58% to Perez/Schuurs (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Perez/Schuurs is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Aoyama/Liang 7-3 over theirs.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perez/Schuurs 1549 · Aoyama/Liang 1601
| Perez/Schuurs | Aoyama/Liang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aoyama/Liang (rating 1549 vs 1601).
Statistics
| Perez/Schuurs | Aoyama/Liang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.6 | 13.6-9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perez/Schuurs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Osorio/Solana Sierra Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Kato/Rakhimova Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Sutjiadi/Zvonareva WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
1-2 | 12-20 | L |
| 26/06 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Tang/Zhang WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Chan/Tauson WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexandrova/Noskova WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Danilina/Krunic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Haddad Maia/Samsonova French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/05 | Errani/Tagger French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Aoyama/Liang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Hsieh/Wang Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Birrell/Gibson Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Bouzas Maneiro/Sonmez Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Neel/Olmos WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Andreescu/Boisson WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexandrova/Joint WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Danilina/Krunic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Guo/Mladenovic French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Chong/Erjavec French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Ostapenko/Routliffe French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perez/Schuurs vs Aoyama/Liang?
Our model gives 51% to Perez/Schuurs, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.