Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Jiang/Xu vs Siegemund/Zvonareva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Siegemund/Zvonareva; the market gives 69% to Siegemund/Zvonareva (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Jiang/Xu with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Siegemund/Zvonareva has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiang/Xu 1460 · Siegemund/Zvonareva 1534
| Jiang/Xu | Siegemund/Zvonareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siegemund/Zvonareva (rating 1460 vs 1534).
- Siegemund/Zvonareva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jiang/Xu | Siegemund/Zvonareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-12.9 | 13.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiang/Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kichenok/Krawczyk Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Golubic/Valentova Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Errani/Melichar-Martinez WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Detiuc/Khromacheva WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Kalinina/Yastremska French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Alexandrova/Danilina WTA Strasbourg WD · Clay |
1-2 | 17-22 | L |
| 15/05 | Kichenok/Krawczyk WTA Paris WD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Eikeri/Kato WTA Paris WD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Siegemund/Zvonareva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chong/Tikhonova Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Brooks/Rajecki Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Dabrowski/Stefani French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Li/Tauson French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Hunter/Pegula WTA Rome WD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Kato/Klepac WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Andreeva/Shnaider WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Sutjiadi/Tjen WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 26/04 | Errani/Paolini WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-16 | W |
| 25/04 | Jovic/Mboko WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiang/Xu vs Siegemund/Zvonareva?
Our model gives 65% to Siegemund/Zvonareva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.