Tennis · M15 Lodz · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: Petr Michnev vs Leyton Rivera

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Petr Michnev; the market gives 78% to Petr Michnev (odds 1.20).

On recent form, Petr Michnev is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Leyton Rivera 6-4 over theirs.

69%1
69% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petr Michnev 1554 · Leyton Rivera 1502
Petr MichnevLeyton Rivera
Our model57%43%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Michnev (rating 1554 vs 1502).
  • Petr Michnev dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44.7% break avg.

Statistics

Petr MichnevLeyton Rivera
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.8-8.810.7-11.2
Aces61.9
Double faults0.72.5
1st serve %72.3%62.9%
Break %44.7%41.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petr Michnev

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Samuele Seghetti
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-9 W
07/07 Beren Tan
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-2 W
24/02 Liam Hignett
M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard
1-2 10-10 L
07/02 Norbert Marosik
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
04/02 Mikalai Haliak
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
03/02 David Redondo Pereira
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
02/02 James McGloughlin
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/01 Karol Filar
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
09/01 Niels Lootsma
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
07/01 Heorhii Shylov
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Leyton Rivera

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Maximilian Figl
M15 Store
0-2 6-12 L
26/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
25/06 Markus Molder
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
24/06 Kristjan Tamm
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
1-2 8-16 L
09/06 Timeo Trufelli
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
04/06 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Sasha Colleu
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/05 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petr Michnev vs Leyton Rivera?

Our model gives 69% to Petr Michnev, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.