Tennis · M15 Lodz · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Marcel Kamrowski

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Marcel Kamrowski; the market gives 81% to Imanol Lopez Morillo (odds 1.14).

Over their last 10 matches, Imanol Lopez Morillo sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Marcel Kamrowski arrives on a 5-5 run.

65%1
65% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1466 · Marcel Kamrowski 1498
Imanol Lopez MorilloMarcel Kamrowski
Our model45%55%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Imanol Lopez MorilloMarcel Kamrowski
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (9) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.2-1
Games (G-P)8.9-9.910.8-10.3
Aces1.33.5
Double faults1.82.3
1st serve %65.5%66.4%
Break %49.3%53.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Imanol Lopez Morillo

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Daniel Tazabekov
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Calvin Mueller
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/06 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
21/06 Maximilian Borisov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/06 Olle Wallin
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
11/06 Pedro Sakamoto
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Patrik Homola
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 8-2 W
03/06 Julien Penzlin
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
24/05 Daniele Rapagnetta
Challenger Kosice · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Marcel Kamrowski

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/04 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/03 Massimo Giunta
M15 Altamura · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
24/03 Gabriel Sardo
M15 Altamura · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
23/03 Dakotah Bobo
M15 Altamura · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/03 Seydina Andre
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
17/03 Achyuth Binu
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/03 Alessandro Pecci
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
11/03 Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Marcel Kamrowski?

Our model gives 65% to Imanol Lopez Morillo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.