Tennis · M15 Lodz · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Aleksandr Braynin vs Linus Lagerbohm
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Aleksandr Braynin; the market gives 59% to Aleksandr Braynin (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Aleksandr Braynin is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Linus Lagerbohm 4-6 over theirs.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandr Braynin 1517 · Linus Lagerbohm 1480
| Aleksandr Braynin | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aleksandr Braynin | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.1 | 9.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 68% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandr Braynin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jan Wygona M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Store |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Store |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Peter Fajta M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Linus Lagerbohm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Patrik Homola M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Ruben Hartig M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Moritz Kudernatsch M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maximilian Todorov M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Jeri Lassila M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Omar Knani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/02 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandr Braynin vs Linus Lagerbohm?
Our model gives 57% to Aleksandr Braynin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.